Population, area and economy affected by a 1 m sea level rise (global and regional estimates, based on today's situation)

Population, area and economy affected by a 1 m sea level rise (global and regional estimates, based on today's situation) (map/graphic/illustration)

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Population, area and economy affected by a 1 m sea level rise (global and regional estimates, based on today's situation). Even for today’s socio-economic conditions, both regionally and globally, large numbers of people and significant economic activity are exposed to sea-level rise. The densely populated megadeltas are especially vulnerable to sea-level rise. More than 1 million people living in the Ganges- Brahmaputra, Mekong and Nile deltas will be directly affected simply if current rates of sea-level rise continue to 2050 and there is no adaptation. More than 50 000 people are likely to be directly impacted in each of a further nine deltas, and more than 5000 in each of a further 12 deltas. Some 75 per cent of the population affected live on the Asian megadeltas and deltas, with a large proportion of the remainder living on deltas in Africa. These impacts would increase dramatically with accelerated sea-level rise. The economy part of this graphic represents the annual share of economy in this zone, in GDP (market exchange rates).
Sources Anthoff, D., Nicholls, R.J., Tol, R.S.J. and Vafeidis, A.T. (2006). Global and regional exposure to large rises in sea-level: a sensitivity analysis. Working Paper 96. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Norwich
Cartographer/
Designer
Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
Appears in Global Outlook for Ice and Snow
In Dead Water - Climate Change, Pollution, Over-harvest, and Invasive Species in the World's Fishing Grounds
Published June 2007
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