Millennium Ecosystem Assessment

Publisher: World Resources Institute (WRI), Publication date: 2005
Since the inception of global assessments on ozone depletion and climate change, the global policy process has been better informed, and decision-makers are able to take more effective and timely decisions. The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment followed in the footsteps of these assessments and was designed to meet the need for information about the consequences of ecosystem change for human well-being. It sought in particular to strengthen the link between scientific knowledge and decision-making.

See the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment web-site for full details.

Annual flow of benefits from forests in selected countries

In most countries, the marketed values of ecosystems associated with timber and fuelwood production are less than one third of the total economic value, including non-marketed values such as carbon [..]
Annual flow of benefits from forests in selected countries

Changes in agricultural land (pasture and cropland)

For all developing countries over the period 1961–99, expansion of harvested land contributed only 29% to growth in crop production versus the contribution of increases in yields, which amounted to [..]
Changes in agricultural land (pasture and cropland)

Changes in economic structure for selected countries

While traditional natural resource sectors such as agriculture, forestry, and fisheries are still important in industrial-country economies, the relative economic and political significance of other [..]
Changes in economic structure for selected countries

Changes in forest area

Timber is harvested from forests and plantations and used for a variety of building, manufacturing, fuel, and other needs. Forests (providing fuelwood and charcoal), agricultural crops, and manure all [..]
Changes in forest area

Characteristic time and space scales related to ecosystems and their services

The time scale of change refers to the time required for the effects of a perturbation of a process to be expressed. Inertia refers to the delay or slowness in the response of a system to factors [..]
Characteristic time and space scales related to ecosystems and their services

Collapse of Atlantic cod stocks off the East Coast of Newfoundland in 1992

From the late 1950s, offshore bottom trawlers began exploiting the deeper part of the stock, leading to a large catch increase and a strong decline in the underlying biomass. Internationally agreed [..]
Collapse of Atlantic cod stocks off the East Coast of Newfoundland in 1992

Comparison of global river nitrogen export from natural ecosystems, agricultural systems, and sewage effluents, 1975 and 1990

Nutrient loading is projected to become an increasingly severe problem, particularly in developing countries. Nutrient loading already has major adverse effects on freshwater ecosystems and coastal [..]
Comparison of global river nitrogen export from natural ecosystems, agricultural systems, and sewage effluents, 1975 and 1990

Contrast between contemporary and pre-disturbance transports of total nitrogen through inland aquatic systems resulting from anthropogenic acceleration of this nutrient cycle

While the peculiarities of individual pollutants, rivers, and governance define the specific character of water pollution, the general patterns observed for nitrogen are representative of [..]
Contrast between contemporary and pre-disturbance transports of total nitrogen through inland aquatic systems resulting from anthropogenic acceleration of this nutrient cycle

Contribution of ecosystems to historical radiative forcing and current greenhouse gas emissions

Radiative forcing caused by changes in atmospheric composition, alteration in land surface reflectance (albedo), and variation in the output of the sun for the year 2000 relative to conditions in [..]
Contribution of ecosystems to historical radiative forcing and current greenhouse gas emissions

Conversion of terrestrial biomes

It is not possible to estimate accurately the extent of different biomes prior to significant human impact, but it is possible to determine the “potential” area of biomes based on soil and climatic [..]
Conversion of terrestrial biomes

Decline in trophic level of fisheries catch since 1950

A trophic level of an organism is its position in a food chain. Levels are numbered according to how far particular organisms are along the chain from the primary producers, to herbivores, to [..]
Decline in trophic level of fisheries catch since 1950

Economic benefits under alternate management practices

In each case, the net benefits from the more sustainably managed ecosystem are greater than those from the converted ecosystem, even though the private (market) benefits would be greater from the [..]
Economic benefits under alternate management practices

Estimated global marine fish catch, 1950 -2001

Fishing production dramatically increase through the century peaking in late 1980s. At this time there were major declines in several fish populations in different areas of the world. The catch [..]
Estimated global marine fish catch, 1950 -2001

Estimated total reactive nitrogen deposition from the atmosphere (wet and dry) in 1860, early 1990s, and projected for 2050

Atmospheric deposition currently accounts for roughly 12% of the reactive nitrogen entering terrestrial and coastal marine ecosystems globally, although in some regions, atmospheric deposition [..]
Estimated total reactive nitrogen deposition from the atmosphere (wet and dry) in 1860, early 1990s, and projected for 2050

Extent of cultivated systems, 2000

More land was converted to cropland in the 30 years after 1950 than in the 150 years between 1700 and 1850. Cultivated systems (areas where at least 30% of the landscape is in croplands,shifting [..]
Extent of cultivated systems, 2000

Forest systems

Forest systems are lands dominated by trees; they are often used for timber, fuelwood, and non-wood forest products. The map shows areas with a canopy cover of at least 40% by woody plants taller than [..]
Forest systems

Global production, prices, and undernourishment

Food production more than doubled (an increase of over 160%) from 1961 to 2003. Over this period, production of cereals—the major energy component of human diets—has increased almost two and a half [..]
Global production, prices, and undernourishment

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) average annual growth, 1990–2003

Average annual percentage growth rate of GDP at market prices based on constant local currency. Dollar figures for GDP are converted from domestic currencies using 1995 official exchange rates. GDP is [..]
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) average annual growth, 1990–2003

Growth in number of marine species introductions

Number of new records of established non-native invertebrate and algal species reported in marine waters of North America, shown by date of first record, and number of new records of non-native marine [..]
Growth in number of marine species introductions

Human population growth rates, 1990–2000, and per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and biological productivity in 2000 in ecological systems

Millennium Assessment systems with the lowest net primary productivity and lowest GDP tended to have the highest population growth rates between 1990 and 2000. Urban, inland water, and marine systems [..]
Human population growth rates, 1990–2000, and per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and biological productivity in 2000 in ecological systems

Inland water and mountain systems

Inland water systems are permanent water bodies inland from the coastal zone and areas whose properties and use are dominated by the permanent, seasonal, or intermittent occurrence of flooded [..]
Inland water and mountain systems

Linkages between ecosystem services and human well-being

There are many linkages between categories of ecosystem services and components of human well-being. They includes indications of the extent to which it is possible for socioeconomic factors to [..]
Linkages between ecosystem services and human well-being

Local adaptations of Millenium Assessment (MA) conceptual framework

The MA framework was applied in a wide range of assessments at multiple scales. Particularly for the more local assessments, the framework needed to be adapted to better reflect the needs and concerns [..]
Local adaptations of Millenium Assessment (MA) conceptual framework

Locations reported by various studies as undergoing high rates of land cover change in the past few decades

In the case of forest cover change, the studies refer to the period 1980–2000 and are based on national statistics, remote sensing, and, to a limited degree, expert opinion. In the case of land cover [..]
Locations reported by various studies as undergoing high rates of land cover change in the past few decades

Main direct drivers of change in biodiversity and ecosystems (CWG)

The cell color indicates impact of each driver on biodiversity in each type of ecosystem over the past 50–100 years. High impact means that over the last century the particular driver has [..]
Main direct drivers of change in biodiversity and ecosystems (CWG)

Marine, coastal, and island systems

Marine systems are the world’s oceans. For mapping purposes, the map shows ocean areas where the depth is greater than 50 meters. Global fishery catches from marine systems peaked in the late 1980s [..]
Marine, coastal, and island systems

Millennium Ecosystem Assessment - Sub-global assessments

Eighteen sub-global assessments were approved as components of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA). These were not designed to provide a scientific sample of any feature of ecosystems or human [..]
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment - Sub-global assessments

Millennium Ecosystem Assessment conceptual framework

International demand for timber may lead to a regional loss of forest cover, which increases flood magnitude along a local stretch of a river. Similarly, the interactions can take place across [..]
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment conceptual framework

Net change in components of human well-being between 2000 and 2050

Order from Strength, which focuses on reactive policies in a regionalized world, has the least favorable outcomes for human well-being, as the global distribution of ecosystem services and human [..]
Net change in components of human well-being between 2000 and 2050

Net national savings in 2001 adjusted for investments in human capital, natural resource depletion, and damage caused by pollution compared with standard net national savings measurements

Positive values for national savings (expressed as a percent of gross national income) reflect a gain in wealth for a nation. Standard measures do not incorporate investments in human capital (in [..]
Net national savings in 2001 adjusted for investments in human capital, natural resource depletion, and damage caused by pollution compared with standard net national savings measurements

Number of ecosystem services enhanced or degraded by 2050

100% degradation means that all the services in the category were degraded in 2050 compared with 2000, while 50% improvement could mean that three out of six services were enhanced and the rest were [..]
Number of ecosystem services enhanced or degraded by 2050

Number of flood events by continent and decade since 1950

Roughly 17% of all the urban land in the United States is located in the 100-year flood zone. Likewise, in Japan about 50% of the population lives on floodplains, which cover only 10% of the land [..]
Number of flood events by continent and decade since 1950

Number of major wild fires by continent and decade since 1950

Within industrial countries, the area burned by fires is declining but the number of major fires is increasing. In the United States, for example, the area burned has declined by more than 90% since [..]
Number of major wild fires by continent and decade since 1950

Number of undernourished children projected in 2050

Food security is likely to remain out of reach for many people. Child malnutrition will be difficult to eradicate even by 2050 (low to medium certainty) and is projected to increase in some regions in [..]
Number of undernourished children projected in 2050

Per capita gross domestic product (GDP) average annual growth, 1990–2003

Average annual percentage growth rate of GDP per capita at market prices based on constant local currency. Dollar figures for GDP are converted from domestic currencies using 1995 official exchange [..]
Per capita gross domestic product (GDP) average annual growth, 1990–2003

Proportion of population with improved drinking water supply in 2002

Access to improved drinking water is estimated by the percentage of the population using the following drinking water sources: household connection, public standpipe, borehole, protected dug well, [..]
Proportion of population with improved drinking water supply in 2002

Proportion of population with improved sanitation coverage in 2002

Access to improved sanitation is estimated by the percentage of the population using the following sanitation facilities: connection to a public sewer, connection to a septic system, pour-flush [..]
Proportion of population with improved sanitation coverage in 2002

Reactive nitrogen on earth by human activity, with projection to 2050

The range of the natural rate of bacterial nitrogen fixation in natural terrestrial ecosystems (excluding fixation in agroecosystems) is shown for comparison. Human activity now produces approximately [..]
Reactive nitrogen on earth by human activity, with projection to 2050

Relative changes in food supply (crops and livestock): industrial and developing countries

Over the past 40 years, globally, intensification of cultivated systems has been the primary source (almost 80%) of increased output. But some countries, predominantly found in sub-Saharan Africa, [..]
Relative changes in food supply (crops and livestock): industrial and developing countries

Species extinction rates

Comparisons with the rate at which species have disappeared from the planet over a long period of Earth’s history indicate that humans have already increased extinctions levels dramatically. [..]
Species extinction rates

Temperature trends and projections

The global average surface temperature has increased over the 20th century by about 0.6 degrees Celsius. This increase in temperature is likely to have been the largest for any century in the last [..]
Temperature trends and projections

Time series of intercepted continental runoff and large reservoir storage, 1900–2000

The years 1960–2000 have shown a rapid move toward flow stabilization, which has slowed recently in some parts of the world due to the growing social, economic, and environmental concerns surrounding [..]
Time series of intercepted continental runoff and large reservoir storage, 1900–2000

Total carbon market value per year

The total value of the carbon market for 2003 topped $300 million. And, depending on international regulation, some observers project that it will increase to $10–40 billion by 2010. Markets are also [..]
Total carbon market value per year

Trend in mean depth of catch since 1950

Fisheries catches increasingly originate from deep areas. Over the years due to depletion in fish stocks the fishing industry has resorted to fishing at greater depths and increasing the damage to [..]
Trend in mean depth of catch since 1950

Unsustainable water withdrawals for irrigation

The imbalance in long-term water budgets necessitates diversion of surface water or the tapping of groundwater resources. The areas shown with moderate-to-high levels of unsustainable use occur over [..]
Unsustainable water withdrawals for irrigation

Urban, dryland, and polar systems

Urban systems are built environments with a high human density. For mapping purposes, the MA uses known human settlements with a population of 5,000 or more, with boundaries delineated by observing [..]
Urban, dryland, and polar systems

Water withdrawals in 2050

Current patterns of human use of water are unsustainable. From 5% to possibly 25% of global freshwater use exceeds longterm accessible supplies and is met through engineered water transfers or the [..]
Water withdrawals in 2050

World population scenarios

Some factors (such as global population growth) will begin to decline in importance and others (distribution of people, climate change, and changes to nutrient cycles) will gain more importance in the [..]
World population scenarios