Global Outlook for Ice and Snow

Publisher: GRID-Arendal, Publication date: June 2007 , Published in series: Global Environment Outlook (GEO)
Global outlook for ice & snow provides an up-to-date, concise review of the state of the environment and the trends in ice and snow-covered regions (cryosphere) of the world. It features case studies, illustrations, graphics and maps and serves as an educational and reference publication. With a broad target audience that includes decision-makers at many levels, the report looks at the significance of changes in the cryosphere to human well-being and the implications for policy.

See the Global Outlook for Ice and Snow web-site for full details.

Albedo of basic thick sea ice surface types

The albedo for different surface conditions on the sea ice range widely, from roughly 85 per cent of radiation reflected for snow-covered ice to 7 per cent for open water. These two surfaces cover the [..]
Albedo of basic thick sea ice surface types

Annual snowfall pattern for a typical mountain environment, Columbine Pass, Colorado 1971-2000

Mountain snow cover typically develops in the autumn and grows to a maximum depth in early spring. As day length and sun angles increase, so do air temperatures, causing snow cover to warm and begin [..]
Annual snowfall pattern for a typical mountain environment, Columbine Pass, Colorado 1971-2000

Antarctica, showing rates of surface-elevation change derived from satellite radar-altimeter measurements

The figure shows rates at which the ice-sheet mass was estimated to be changing based on radar-altimeter data (black), mass-budget calculations (red), and satellite gravity measurements (blue). [..]
Antarctica, showing rates of surface-elevation change derived from satellite radar-altimeter measurements

Antarctica, topographic map

Antarctic is the fifth largest continent of the world at 14 million square kilometres and is covered by a permanent continental ice sheet. The ice is distributed in two major ice sheets, the East [..]
Antarctica, topographic map

Arctic delta pond ecosystems, seasonal flooding and adaptation

The physical development and ecosystem health of river deltas in cold regions are strongly controlled by ice processes and thus are highly susceptible to the effects of climate change. As an example, [..]
Arctic delta pond ecosystems, seasonal flooding and adaptation

Arctic sea ice minimum extent in September 1982 and 2005

The red line indicates the median minimum extent of the ice cover for the period 1979–2000. This figure compares the Arctic sea-ice extent in September for the years 1982 (the record maximum since [..]
Arctic sea ice minimum extent in September 1982 and 2005

Arctic sea ice minimum extent in September 1982 and 2008

The red line indicates the median minimum extent of the ice cover for the period 1979–2000. This figure compares the Arctic sea ice extent in September for the years 1982 (the record maximum since [..]
Arctic sea ice minimum extent in September 1982 and 2008

Arctic temperature anomaly patterns

Natural climate variability is organized into spatial patterns of high and low pressure regions, represented by the Arctic Oscillation (also called the Northern Annular Mode) and North Pacific [..]
Arctic temperature anomaly patterns

Arctic temperatures in the 20th century, modeled and observed

Observed Arctic winter land temperatures and IPCC model recreations for the 20th century. Note that although these model runs are able to capture the range of Arctic warm and cold periods, the timing [..]
Arctic temperatures in the 20th century, modeled and observed

Average Recurrence Interval for sea-level events of a given height at Sydney, Australia6c_sidney_level

For the second half of the 20th century (red line), the average recurrence interval for a sea-level height of a given value is less than half the value for the first half of the 20th century (blue [..]
Average Recurrence Interval for sea-level events of a given height at Sydney, Australia6c_sidney_level

Caucasus ice-rock avalanche in Russian Republic of North Ossetia

An ice-rock avalanche in the Kazbek region sheared off almost the entire Kolka Glacier and devastated the Genaldon valley. The satellite images show the region before (July 22, 2001) and after [..]
Caucasus ice-rock avalanche in Russian Republic of North Ossetia

Change in the age of ice on the Arctic Ocean, comparing September ice ages in 1988, 1990, 2001 and 2005

The age of sea ice in the Arctic is changing, and not only the extent and concentrations. Studies show that in recent years there is a higher proportion of younger ice to older ice than was observed [..]
Change in the age of ice on the Arctic Ocean, comparing September ice ages in 1988, 1990, 2001 and 2005

Climate feedbacks - the connectivity of the positive ice/snow albedo feedback, terrestrial snow and vegetation feedbacks and the negative cloud/radiation feedback

Feedback refers to the modification of a process by changes resulting from the process itself. Positive feedbacks accelerate the process, while negative feedbacks slow it down. Part of the uncertainty [..]
Climate feedbacks - the connectivity of the positive ice/snow albedo feedback, terrestrial snow and vegetation feedbacks and the negative cloud/radiation feedback

Cryosphere - winter seasons, Northern and Southern Hemispheres

Seasonal variation in the extent of ice and snow cover is greatest in the Northern Hemisphere. Imagine the Earth with white caps on the top and bottom. The top cap increases by a factor of six from [..]
Cryosphere - winter seasons, Northern and Southern Hemispheres

Effects of sea-level rise on water resources of small islands and low-lying coastal areas

The water resources of small islands and low-lying coastal areas are very susceptible to sea-level rise. This figure illustrates the direct impacts on the water resources sector, as well as the [..]
Effects of sea-level rise on water resources of small islands and low-lying coastal areas

Estimated contributions to sea-level rise (1993-2003)

The two main reasons for sea-level rise are thermal expansion of ocean waters as they warm, and increase in the ocean mass, principally from land-based sources of ice (glaciers and ice caps, and the [..]
Estimated contributions to sea-level rise (1993-2003)

Estimates of people flooded in coastal areas in the 2080s as a result of sea-level rise and for given socio-economic scenarios and protection responses

The lines represent IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) based on different world views. The differences in impacts between the SRES scenarios for the same amount of sea-level rise and [..]
Estimates of people flooded in coastal areas in the 2080s as a result of sea-level rise and for given socio-economic scenarios and protection responses

Example of enhanced water levels produced from river ice, Liard River, Canada

The lower curve shows the correspondence between river flow and water levels under open-water conditions. The much greater maximum water levels possible under ice-jam conditions are illustrated by the [..]
Example of enhanced water levels produced from river ice, Liard River, Canada

Formation of lakes and glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs) by Medvezhi Glacier, Pamirs

The increasing number of glacial and moraine lakes in Central Asian mountains is a matter of great concern. One of the surging glaciers that poses a potential threat is the 15 km long Medvezhi (Bear) [..]
Formation of lakes and glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs) by Medvezhi Glacier, Pamirs

Glacier changes on Nevado de Santa Isabel, Colombia

With spectacular mountain peak glaciers melting away, the NEvado de Santa Isabel area in Colombia becomes less attractive to tourists. In addition, the local forestry and agricultural fertility suffer [..]
Glacier changes on Nevado de Santa Isabel, Colombia

Glacier front variations in the European Alps

Large Alpine glaciers have retreated continuously since the mid- 19th century, whereas steep mid-sized glaciers reacted with readvances in the 1890s, 1920s and between the 1970s and 1980s due to the [..]
Glacier front variations in the European Alps

Glacier shrinking on Cumberland Peninsula, Baffin Island, Canadian Arctic

A new glacier inventory based on satellite data shows that the glacier cover reduced by about 22 per cent between the Little Ice Age (LIA) maximum extent and 2000. Changes in glacier area and volume [..]
Glacier shrinking on Cumberland Peninsula, Baffin Island, Canadian Arctic

Glaciers monitored through the World Glacier Monitoring Service

Worldwide collection of information about ongoing glacier changes was initiated in 1894 with the foundation of the International Glacier Commission at the 6th International Geological Congress in [..]
Glaciers monitored through the World Glacier Monitoring Service

Greenland, showing rates of surface-elevation change between the late 1990s and 2003

Mass-balance estimates for Greenland show thickening at high elevations since the early 1990s at rates that increased to about 4 cm per year after 2000, consistent with expectations of increasing [..]
Greenland, showing rates of surface-elevation change between the late 1990s and 2003

Historical trends in carbon dioxide concentrations and temperature, on a geological and recent time scale

The most recent geological history, in the last hundred thousand years, has been characterised by cycles of glaciations, or ice ages. The historic temperatures, through these times, have been low, and [..]
Historical trends in carbon dioxide concentrations and temperature, on a geological and recent time scale

Ice avalanches of the Nevados Huascarán in Peru

Many disasters have been recorded from the glaciers in the Cordillera Blanca. The 1962 and 1970 events originating from Glaciar 511 on the Nevados Huascarán, the highest peak of which is at 6768 m [..]
Ice avalanches of the Nevados Huascarán in Peru

Ice sheets, schematic illustration for Greenland and Antarctica

The ice cover in Greenland and Antarctica has two components – thick, grounded, inland ice that rests on a more or less solid bed, and thinner floating ice shelves and glacier tongues. An ice sheet is [..]
Ice sheets, schematic illustration for Greenland and Antarctica

Ice-albedo feedback process

In spring, the ice is snow-covered and there is very little open water. Most sunlight is reflected, but some is absorbed. This absorbed sunlight leads to melting, which in turn reduces the ice albedo [..]
Ice-albedo feedback process

Increases in annual temperatures for a recent five-year period, relative to 1951-1980

Warming is widespread, generally greater over land than over oceans, and the largest gains in temperatures for the planet are over the North American Arctic, north central Siberia, and on the [..]
Increases in annual temperatures for a recent five-year period, relative to 1951-1980

Jakobshavn Isbrae and ice fjord, showing locations of the calving ice front in years from 1851 to 2006, together with flow velocity observations

The glacier extends through the Illulisat Icefjord, surrounded by mountains. Icebergs calve off from the main glacier, pile up and block the fjord before being released into Qeqertarsuup Tunua (Disko) [..]
Jakobshavn Isbrae and ice fjord, showing locations of the calving ice front in years from 1851 to 2006, together with flow velocity observations

Maps of average sea ice extent in the Arctic summer (September) and winter (March), and in the Antarctic summer (February) and winter (September)

Passive microwave sensors on satellites have monitored the extent of the sea ice cover since 19782. This technique is widely used to investigate fluctuations in ice extent over the seasons, [..]
Maps of average sea ice extent in the Arctic summer (September) and winter (March), and in the Antarctic summer (February) and winter (September)

Mass balance of Maliy Aktru Glacier, Russian Altai

Measurements on this valley-type glacier in the North Chuyskiy Range show a slightly negative annual mass balance trend culminating in an ice loss of about 4 m water equivalent over the period [..]
Mass balance of Maliy Aktru Glacier, Russian Altai

Mass balance reference glaciers in nine mountain ranges

Thirty reference glaciers with almost continuous mass balance measurements since 1975 show an average annual mass loss of 0.58 m water equivalent for the past decade (1996–2005), which is more [..]
Mass balance reference glaciers in nine mountain ranges

Mean snow-cover extent in the Northern Hemisphere 1966-2006

Snow occurs predominantly on the northern continents, on the sea ice of the Arctic Ocean and on Antarctica. On the Northern Hemisphere continents, snow covers a maximum mean area of 45.2 million km2, [..]
Mean snow-cover extent in the Northern Hemisphere 1966-2006

Melting ice on Mount Kilimanjaro, East Africa

Close to 50 per cent of the glaciers in Africa, on the Rwenzori Mountains, Mount Kenya and Kilimanjaro have disappeared, while larger glaciers – particularly on Kilimanjaro – have been fragmented. [..]
Melting ice on Mount Kilimanjaro, East Africa

Monthly average sea ice extent globally and in both hemispheres

In the Arctic, winter sea ice extends over an area of approximately 15 million km2 at its peak in March and up to 7 million km2 in September, at the end of the summer melt season. Corresponding [..]
Monthly average sea ice extent globally and in both hemispheres

Monthly average sea ice extent globally and in both hemispheres (radial)

In the Arctic, winter sea ice extends over an area of approximately 15 million km2 at its peak in March and up to 7 million km2 in September, at the end of the summer melt season. Corresponding [..]
Monthly average sea ice extent globally and in both hemispheres (radial)

Mountain permafrost patterns and temperature gradients

Steep terrain and strong variability in surface temperatures are typical of mountain permafrost. The cross section in the foreground shows the complex distribution of subsurface temperatures [..]
Mountain permafrost patterns and temperature gradients

Northern Hemisphere snow-cover extent anomalies 1966-2005

Data from satellite monitoring from 1966 to 2005 show that mean monthly snow-cover extent in the Northern Hemisphere is decreasing at a rate of 1.3 per cent per decade. For the calendar year of 2006 [..]
Northern Hemisphere snow-cover extent anomalies 1966-2005

Northern Sea Route and the Northwest Passage compared with currently used shipping routes

Climate models project that summer sea ice in the Arctic Basin will retreat further and further away from most Arctic landmasses, opening new shipping routes and extending the navigation season in the [..]
Northern Sea Route and the Northwest Passage compared with currently used shipping routes

Overview of world glaciers and ice caps

By far the largest area of glaciers and ice fields are found in Canada (about 201 000 km2), followed by Alaska (about 75 000 km2) with about 700 km2 in the rest of the USA. Glaciers and ice fields [..]
Overview of world glaciers and ice caps

Overview on glacier changes since the end of the Little Ice Age

Glaciers and ice caps reached their Holocene (the past 10 000 years) maximum extent in most mountain ranges throughout the world towards the end of the Little Ice Age, between the 17th and mid-19th [..]
Overview on glacier changes since the end of the Little Ice Age

Permafrost extent in the Northern Hemisphere

Permafrost zones occupy up to 24 per cent of the exposed land area of the Northern Hemisphere. Permafrost is also common within the vast continental shelves of the Arctic Ocean. This subsea permafrost [..]
Permafrost extent in the Northern Hemisphere

Population size of Peary caribou in the Canadian Arctic islands

In northwestern North America, recent warming has led to a dramatic increase in the number of days of above freezing temperatures during the migration period for the caribou (Rangifier tarandus). [..]
Population size of Peary caribou in the Canadian Arctic islands

Population, area and economy affected by a 1 m sea level rise (global and regional estimates, based on today's situation)

Even for today’s socio-economic conditions, both regionally and globally, large numbers of people and significant economic activity are exposed to sea-level rise. The densely populated megadeltas are [..]
Population, area and economy affected by a 1 m sea level rise (global and regional estimates, based on todays situation)

Projected changes in permafrost (Northern Hemisphere)

Modelled permafrost temperatures (mean annual temperature at the permafrost surface) for the Northern Hemisphere (Arctic), derived by applying climate conditions to a spatially distributed permafrost [..]
Projected changes in permafrost (Northern Hemisphere)

Projected increase (days) of the navigation season through the Northern Sea Route as an average of 5 ACIA model projections

The Northern Sea Route (NSR) is a seasonally ice-covered marine shipping lane along the Russian coasts, from Novaya Zemlya in the west to the Bering Strait in the east. The NSR is administered by the [..]
Projected increase (days) of the navigation season through the Northern Sea Route as an average of 5 ACIA model projections

Projected reduction in snow 2080-2100

Using one specific climate change model (ECHAM5) and the SRES A2 emission scenario (run 2) the projected loss of snow amounts to decreases of 60–80 per cent in monthly maximum snow water equivalent [..]
Projected reduction in snow 2080-2100

Projected sea-level rise for the 21st century

The projected range of global averaged sea-level rise from the IPCC 2001 Assessment Report for the period 1990 to 2100 is shown by the lines and shading. The updated AR4 IPCC projections made are [..]
Projected sea-level rise for the 21st century

Projected temperatures in the 21th century

Projected Arctic annual land temperature increases for the first half of the 21st century relative to the average temperature for 1980–99. The average of the IPCC models (the blue line) shows an [..]
Projected temperatures in the 21th century

Projected winter temperature changes in the Arctic

The changes in cold-season mean temperatures over Arctic land regions are broken into three latitudinal bands for each region, as shown on the small map (which has an outer rim of 50° N). Error bars [..]
Projected winter temperature changes in the Arctic

Ratio of existing ski areas in the Alps with natural snow-reliability under current conditions and warmer conditions

Winter tourism is a significant part of the economy of Alpine countries and the most important source of income in many regions. In Austria, winter tourism revenue makes up 4.5 per cent of GNP and [..]
Ratio of existing ski areas in the Alps with natural snow-reliability under current conditions and warmer conditions

Regional changes in Arctic and Antarctic sea ice

There are major regional differences for the Arctic sea ice, with the strongest decline in ice extent observed for the Greenland Sea (10.6 per cent per decade). The smallest decreases of annual mean [..]
Regional changes in Arctic and Antarctic sea ice

Schematic diagram of glacier, permafrost and forest limits as a function of mean annual air temperature and average annual precipitation

Glaciers and ice caps form around the world where snow deposited during the cold/humid season does not entirely melt during warm/dry times. This seasonal snow gradually becomes denser and transforms [..]
Schematic diagram of glacier, permafrost and forest limits as a function of mean annual air temperature and average annual precipitation

Sea ice concentration change over the 21st century as projected by climate models

The data are taken from climate model experiments of 12 (out of 24) different models that were conducted for the IPCC Assessment Report 4 using the SRES A1B greenhouse gas emission scenario. Plots on [..]
Sea ice concentration change over the 21st century as projected by climate models

Shrinking Lewis Glacier, Mount Kenya

The tropical Lewis Glacier retreated by more than 800 m between 1893 and 2004 and lost almost 16 m water equivalent of its thickness between 1979 and 1996. Located on Mount Kenya, this is one of few [..]
Shrinking Lewis Glacier, Mount Kenya

Shrinking of Fedchenko Glacier in the Pamirs of Tajikistan

Significant loss of glaciers in Central Asia began around the 1930s, and become more dramatic in the second half of the 20th century and continue into the 21st century. Glacier area was reduced in the [..]
Shrinking of Fedchenko Glacier in the Pamirs of Tajikistan

Temperatures over previous centuries from various proxy records

Evidence from tree rings and other temperature proxies suggests that during the previous 500 years global temperatures were 1.0ºC cooler than those of the 20th century during a period roughly from [..]
Temperatures over previous centuries from various proxy records

The Cryosphere, components and world maps

Snow and the various forms of ice - the cryosphere - play different roles within the climate system. The two continental ice sheets of Antarctica and Greenland actively influence the global climate [..]
The Cryosphere, components and world maps

The Cryosphere, world map

Snow and the various forms of ice - the cryosphere - play different roles within the climate system. The two continental ice sheets of Antarctica and Greenland actively influence the global climate [..]
The Cryosphere, world map

Time series of freeze-up and break-up dates from selected Northern Hemisphere lakes and rivers, 1846–1995

Limited by the availability of detailed observations, most historical evaluations of changes in freshwater ice have focused on relatively simple characteristics, such as the timing of autumn freeze up [..]
Time series of freeze-up and break-up dates from selected Northern Hemisphere lakes and rivers, 1846–1995

Time series of freeze-up and break-up dates from selected Northern Hemisphere lakes and rivers, 1846–1995

Limited by the availability of detailed observations, most historical evaluations of changes in freshwater ice have focused on relatively simple characteristics, such as the timing of autumn freeze up [..]
Time series of freeze-up and break-up dates from selected Northern Hemisphere lakes and rivers, 1846–1995

Trends in Antarctic tourism

Antarctic annual sea-ice extent is projected to decrease by 25 per cent by 2100, and this will bring easier access to the Antarctic continent by ship. This is likely to affect not only research, which [..]
Trends in Antarctic tourism

Trends in Arctic sea ice extent in March (maximum) and September (minimum) in the time period of 1979–2008

For the Northern Hemisphere (primarily the Arctic), observations using remote sensing technologies have been used to measure the extent and the to assess the development. Despite considerable [..]
Trends in Arctic sea ice extent in March (maximum) and September (minimum) in the time period of 1979–2008

Trends in Arctic sea-ice extent in March (maximum) and September (minimum) in the time period of 1979–2006

For the Northern Hemisphere (primarily the Arctic), observations using remote sensing technologies have been used to measure the extent and the to assess the development. Despite considerable [..]
Trends in Arctic sea-ice extent in March (maximum) and September (minimum) in the time period of 1979–2006

Trends in Arctic temperature, 1880-2006

A history of Arctic land temperature anomalies from 1880 through 2006 is shown in this figure. The zero line represents the average temperature for 1961–1990. In the late 1800s the Arctic was [..]
Trends in Arctic temperature, 1880-2006

Trends in permafrost temperatures and active-layer thickness, Northern Tien Shan mountains

Mountain permafrost in Central Asia occupies approximately 3.5 million square kilometers and makes up about 15 per cent of the total permafrost area in the Northern Hemisphere. The climatic [..]
Trends in permafrost temperatures and active-layer thickness, Northern Tien Shan mountains

Trends in permafrost temperatures during the last 23 to 28 years in northern Alaska

There has been a general increase in permafrost temperatures during the last several decades in Alaska, northwest Canada, Siberia, and northern Europe. Permafrost temperature records have been [..]
Trends in permafrost temperatures during the last 23 to 28 years in northern Alaska

Trends in permafrost temperatures in the central and northern Mackenzie Valley, 1984-2006

Temperature monitoring in Canada indicates a warming of shallow permafrost over the last two to three decades. Since the mid-1980s, shallow permafrost (upper 20-30 m) has generally warmed in the [..]
Trends in permafrost temperatures in the central and northern Mackenzie Valley, 1984-2006

Trends in sea level, 1870-2006

Coastal and island tide-gauge data show that sea level rose by just under 20 cm between 1870 and 2001, with an average rise of 1.7 mm per year during the 20th century and with an increase in the rate [..]
Trends in sea level, 1870-2006

Trends in snow-covered area for the Northern Hemisphere 1922-2005

Observations of snow-covered area for the Northern Hemisphere show a significant development in the later 20th century, with a reduction of the area covered by snow in the spring (March-April) from [..]
Trends in snow-covered area for the Northern Hemisphere 1922-2005

Trends in spring snow cover duration for the Northern Hemisphere, 1970-2004

Examination of regional trends in spring snow-cover duration from 1969–2003 using NOAA snow-cover data shows the western United States to be among the regions with the strongest decreases. This [..]
Trends in spring snow cover duration for the Northern Hemisphere, 1970-2004

Trends in spring temperatures and ice break-up dates in Canada

In Canada, recent evidence indicates a shortening of the freshwater-ice season over much of the country with the reduction being mainly attributable to earlier break ups. These trends match those in [..]
Trends in spring temperatures and ice break-up dates in Canada

Variations in snow depth and ice cover, alpine lake at Hardangervidda plateau, Norway

Climate warming means that lowland lakes typically are experiencing longer ice-free periods, promoting greater biological productivity. However, despite this warming trend, biological productivity may [..]
Variations in snow depth and ice cover, alpine lake at Hardangervidda plateau, Norway

Water towers of Asia - glaciers, water and population in the greater Himalayas-Hindu Kush-Tien Shan-Tibet region

The Himalayas–Hindu Kush, Kunlun Shan, Pamir and Tien Shan mountain ranges function as water towers, providing water to people through much of Asia. The glacier-fed rivers originating from the [..]
Water towers of Asia - glaciers, water and population in the greater Himalayas-Hindu Kush-Tien Shan-Tibet region

World ocean thermohaline circulation

The global conveyor belt thermohaline circulation is driven primarily by the formation and sinking of deep water (from around 1500m to the Antarctic bottom water overlying the bottom of the ocean) in [..]
World ocean thermohaline circulation